Is the US economy projected to grow in the next year?

The projection for the growth of the US economy in the upcoming year presents a mixed picture. Various sources indicate that while there is some expectation for growth, the rates are relatively modest and vary significantly between forecasts. For instance, the GDPNow model from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta suggests a real GDP growth estimate of 2.5% for the third quarter of 2025, indicating a positive outlook. However, other forecasts, such as those from Deloitte and EY, predict a deceleration in growth, with estimates dropping to around 1.4% to 1.5% for 2025. This suggests that while there is a consensus on some level of growth, the anticipated rates are not robust and point towards potential economic challenges ahead, including the impact of higher tariffs and the risk of recession. Therefore, while the US economy is projected to grow, the extent of that growth is limited and accompanied by significant uncertainty.